December 15, 2024
Good afternoon. Last week, we received a flurry of OOO or slow response warnings after sending out the newsletter, so this will be the last long-form newsletter heading into the new year. We will continue to send more streamlined, fun newsletters through the remainder of the year and will pick back up in full force on January 12th!
In our deep dive section, you may notice more of a deep dive into the breakthroughs in modern science than is typical of a business-oriented newsletter, and this may be due to the fact that I went down a rabbit hole and everyone I talked to did not find it nearly as interesting as I did. If you are like them, feel free to skip over, but this may be one of the most significant breakthroughs ever and could reshape life as we know it⌠or at least I think so.
- Alex Blackwood
đŞ Glass case of emotion - On Wednesday, Novemberâs inflation report came in and made us all feel like we were in a glass case of emotion. The bad news is inflation ramped up to 2.7% annually (0.3% increase from October) and was the highest month-over-month increase in a year and a half. The good news is analysts were expecting the increase. The 2.7% is above the 2.0% annual inflation target of the Fed, but even with the increase, analysts estimate a near 100% likelihood of a quarter-point interest rate cut at the December 18th Fed meeting.
đ The Kim & Kanye of the Grocery industry - In a case of former merger partners turned bitter rivals, Albertsons is suing Kroger. On Tuesday, a US District Judge sided with the FTC that a $20 billion merger between two giant grocery-store operators, Albertsons and Kroger, would lead to a near monopoly over the grocery industry and reduction in competition, which would ultimately hurt consumers. On Wednesday, just one day later, Albertsons turned face and sued Kroger, accusing Kroger of not putting the work in not doing enough to win approval for the $20 billion deal.
đĽ DOGE looks to deal first blow - We didnât say the new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) wouldnât be contentious. In recent interviews, the DOGE team has been exploring the shut down of the FDIC. Considered one of the top watchdogs of the banking industry, the FDIC is seen by the DOGE as duplicative to other bank regulators like the OCC and parts of the Fed. They would look to fold the deposit insurance into the Treasury Department to streamline the industry. While not set in stone, this type of thinking is the kind of change the DOGE team is trying to accomplish.
On Monday, the Google Quantum AI team unveiled a significant breakthrough in quantum computing with their Willow chip. The high level overview is that the chip performed a computation 5 minutes that would have taken the worldâs next fastest supercomputer 10 septillion years⌠Written out that is: 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years
Quantum computing is a field of computer science that leverages principles found in quantum mechanics to solve problems faster than traditional computers.
In traditional computers, a bit is the smallest unit of data that a computer can store and process. A bit is the building blocks of the computer and is represented as a 0 or 1. The 0 or 1 are representative of an âon/offâ switch that changes state between 0 or 1 when electricity is flowing or not flowing in certain areas of a computer chip. From the 0 or 1, the computer can translate the sequences of them to mean an âaâ for instance.
Previously, the data could only hold the state 0 or 1 in a bit. In quantum computing, the computer leverages quantum bits or qubit, which are much smaller than bits and can exist as both a 0 and 1 at the same time.
The ability for qubits to exist in multiple states at once creates the ability for quantum computers to explore many possibilities at once, leading to faster calculations for certain problems. Additionally, when multiple qubits are linked it creates entanglement where one qubit instantly affects the state of others, which further enhances computational power. Â
Because qubits rapidly exchange information, errors present one of the greatest challenges to quantum computing. When qubits share errors, it makes it more difficult to complete computations, which leads to more errors that spread throughout the qubits. Previously, the more qubits you used, the more errors occurred, and the more the system became classical in nature.
The breakthrough was an error correction system that actually reduced errors when more qubits were added. This is the first time a team has been able to drive down errors and scale up qubits, which led to the computational breakthrough.
While solving complex math problems is cool, think about the applications of this type of technology:
While this is a tremendous breakthrough, we are still years away from commercial application, and the current state of quantum computing means it wonât be commercially viable to scale. Because of the costs, the environment of the labs, and the highly specialized infrastructure necessary to house a quantum computer, we wonât be using them directly anytime soon if ever. But the implications of this device on other fields of science are astounding.
Even crazier, the scientists behind the breakthrough point to the chip as evidence of multiple parallel universes or multiverse. He makes the argument that the computing power is too much for one universe and must be borrowed from others.
Anyways, pretty crazy stuff, and I wanted to do a deep dive because it wasnât getting enough air time in my opinion.
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For all the statistic nerds out there, this one is for you. Imagine a world where you could use probabilities from past events to predict future events with a certain degree of confidence. Now, imagine you predict the future and see the entire galaxy will fall into chaos, but you have the power to maneuver the period and shorten it substantially by setting up a âFoundationâ on the other end of the galaxy to shepherd the galaxy through the dark times.
That is the premise of the Foundation series, and there is a reason why this is on every sci-fi lover or tech moguls must-read book lists. Iâll admit I wasnât fully into sci-fi prior to this series, but after reading the 1st one in the series, I rush-ordered the remaining 6. Even if you donât like sci-fi, give the first one a shot, and see if that changes your mind.
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There are no penguins at the North Pole. Only Santa.
Written by Alex Blackwood & Thomas Horcel
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